Rubber Meets The Road Economics: Exploring the forces shaping our economy with P

Rubber Meets The Road Economics: Exploring the forces shaping our economy with P

Welcome to ’Rubber Meets The Road Economics,’ where investor Hunter Craig and Professor Edwin T. Burton from the University of Virginia explore the forces shaping our economy. Each episode breaks down complex economic concepts into clear, relatable insights. From globalization and technology to beha...

30. Rates Up, Inflation Back, and Who’s Really Running the Fed
Rubber Meets The Road Economics: Exploring the forces shaping our economy with P
30. Rates Up, Inflation Back, and Who’s Really Running the Fed

Recent Episodes

30
May 1, 2026

30. Rates Up, Inflation Back, and Who’s Really Running the Fed

Six months ago, the Fed dot plot was pointing toward rate cuts. The consensus on Wall Street, in academia, and in financial media was convergent: relief was coming for borrowers. Professor Edwin Burton saw it differently. In this episode of Rubber Meets the Road Economics, Burton — one of the University of Virginia's most respected financial economists — returns to explain why that consensus has now fully reversed, and what it signals for the months ahead. The Fed held its target this week at 3
29
March 18, 2026

29. Is the U.S. Economy Heading for a Slowdown? Iran War and Rising Oil Prices, AI Capex Bubble, Federal Reserve Trap, and Private Credit Run Risk | Edwin Burton

Investor Hunter Craig sits down with Professor Edwin T. Burton of the University of Virginia on Fed meeting day — March 17, 2026. The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady, and Professor Burton explains why there is no path to lower rates without triggering inflation. From there, the conversation ranges across the Iran war’s muted effect on oil markets, a dangerously weakening U.S. economy, and the deep structural vulnerabilities in both public equities and private credit. The episod
28
Feb. 12, 2026

28. AI Bubbles, the Falling Dollar, and the Fed’s Next Move

With the Dow crossing 50,000 and AI capital spending reaching historic levels, are we in a bubble—or at the dawn of a new economic era? This week, investor Hunter Craig sits down with Professor Edwin Burton of the University of Virginia to unpack the real economics behind the AI hype. Professor Burton explains why the software sector got hammered after new AI coding tools launched, where AI truly excels (and where it’s dangerously overrated), and why the companies leading the AI race today may n
27
Dec. 4, 2025

27. Are Tariffs About to Disappear? The Economic Signals to Watch

Hunter Craig sits down with Professor Edwin T. Burton of the University of Virginia to break down the most pressing economic issues of the moment: the Federal Reserve’s upcoming meeting, the meaning behind falling short-term rates and stubborn long-term rates, the fragility of today’s housing market, and whether the U.S. has already slipped into a debt spiral. Professor Burton also uncovers what’s really happening with global currency dynamics, the potential end of the current tariff regime, an
26
Oct. 29, 2025

Tariffs, Trade, and Truth: The Real Economics of U.S.–China Relations

In this episode, investor Hunter Craig sits down with Professor Edwin T. Burton of the University of Virginia to discuss the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, its implications for interest rates, and what the Fed can — and can’t — control. Professor Burton offers his signature mix of sharp humor and deep economic insight as he unpacks the paradox of record-breaking stock markets amid mass layoffs, explores historical lessons from the 1929 crash, and shares his contrarian view on U.S.–China trade
25
Oct. 10, 2025

25. Is Artificial Intelligence Masking an Economic Slowdown?

In this episode of Rubber Meets the Road Economics, investor Hunter Craig sits down with Professor Edwin T. Burton from the University of Virginia to break down the economic realities behind the AI boom. While tech companies are pouring billions into artificial intelligence, the rest of the economy is slowing — a trend masked by massive capital expenditures in data centers, chips, and defensive spending. Professor Burton explores whether AI is truly creating value or simply inflating numbers, w

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